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The Long-Term Care Predictability Library
Practical tools we use with operators to pull risk forward — before late redesign, survey exposure, or staff workarounds quietly cost you census, schedule, or capital.
Watch the short video. Download the editable worksheet. Use it in your next team meeting this week.
New episodes regularly. Bookmark the page or follow us on LinkedIn so you don't miss what's next.
Released March 16, 2026
Released March 30, 2026
Released April 20, 2026
Released Marrch11, 2026
Released June 1, 2026
Released June 22, 2026
Episode 1 - Operations First
Designing From Census, Acuity, and Staffing Reality
Most long-term care projects don't lose predictability in one big decision. They lose it when the team locks a layout before they've agreed on operational reality — census, acuity, and staffing workflow.
In this episode:
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How to translate census, acuity, and staffing into layout-driving constraints
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The 5 Flow Tests every layout direction should pass before it locks
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How to run a 45-minute alignment meeting that prevents late redesign
Episode 2 - Regulatory Map in 1 Page
Licensure, Survey Risk, and What Drives Rework
Late redesign in long-term care is rarely a "design" problem. It's usually a compliance mapping problem — because teams treat "regulations" like one bucket and discover the real constraints after the layout has momentum.
In this episode:
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Why code compliance ≠ survey readiness — and what to do about it
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The early confirmations to answer before you lock schematic direction
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How to run a 60-minute Regulatory Map meeting that protects budget and schedule
Episode 3 - Minimum Viable Clinical Program (MVCP)
What You Must Decide Before Layout
If the clinical program is vague, the floor plan becomes guesswork — and guesswork becomes late redesign. Minimum viable doesn't mean minimum quality. It means the minimum set of decisions you must lock before a layout direction is safe.
In this episode:
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The 10 MVCP decisions that prevent late clinical reversals
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How observation and safety choices become layout drivers
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A practical GO/NO-GO gate for approving layout direction
Episode 4 - Patient/Resident Safety Risk Workshop
Observation, Elopement, Self-Harm Risk, and Control Points
If you wait to address safety risk until "later in design," it usually shows up as late redesign — rippling into doors, hardware, staff anchors, circulation, and schedule.
In this episode:
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How to identify the highest-risk moments where supervision is most stressed
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How to map control points: visibility, access, and response
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How to turn safety intent into non-negotiable layout constraints
Episode 5 - Adjacencies That Make or Break Care
Staff Flow, Med Flow, and Dirty/Clean Separation
A floor plan can look great and still create daily operational drag — because the flows were never proven. The AFAM Matrix proves three flows before you approve a layout direction.
In this episode:
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The "peak moment" test — why calm-day layouts still fail under load
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Why med flow is a layout driver, not a detail
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How to design clean/dirty separation so policy isn't doing all the work
Episode 6 - Life Safety and Continuity
Fire/Life Safety Decisions That Affect Everything Downstream
Life safety decisions are high-ripple decisions. One late clarification can force a major re-plan — affecting circulation, boundaries, door strategy, MEP, phasing, and operations.
In this episode:
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Why life safety isn't "a late code check" — it reshapes layouts early
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A downstream impact map showing why late changes get expensive
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Continuity prompts for renovation: temporary routes, swing space, clean-zone separation